Snow C.A.T. Live!

superdoug55 said:
Based on past HasLabs what kind of last day bounce could this thing get?
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Who knows for certain because each situation, while generally following a pattern, is unique based on so many factors (time of year, economy, product, etc.). However if it holds to past performances it should gain a minimum of 2,000 backers on the final day. I would hazard a guess of more than that but nothing is certain. I would say Lady Jaye is all but guaranteed to unlock, and most likely the Bivouac. Flint is still a bit up in the air.

Backer drop update:

Snow C.A.T. - 8,815 (-48)

LAAT/i Gunship - 3,208 (-7)


So the daily drop of about 50 backers continues. At least the Snow C.A.T. is closing in on 9,000 and "should" get a couple thousand backers on the final day.

The LAAT/i Gunship is not losing too many backers daily, but it is also starting to creep towards low double/single digit daily gains so losing even a few backers daily is tough.
 
The drops are certainly unusual. You’ve got your work cut out for you this time around, @canprime. Has there been a HasLab with this kind of calculating and recalculating before?
 
NORM said:
The drops are certainly unusual. You’ve got your work cut out for you this time around, @canprime. Has there been a HasLab with this kind of calculating and recalculating before?
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Lots. In fact most Haslabs don't fund early like the previous Classified Haslabs (or the Sentinel). Galactus didn't fund until almost the exact same point as the Snow C.A.T. and ended up being the most backed Haslab to date. The Skystriker didn't fund until the final day and shot off like a rocket and almost unlocked all the tiers in the final day.

There are just so many variables that there is no way to say for certain that something will happen.

The best place to see tracking is on the GeekDadLife website. They use charts and graphs from someone named Brian Brink(s). He is the gold standard for tracking the Haslabs. He has all the numbers and displays them with great charts. He even makes predictions on the final number of backers (though that is hit or miss on accuracy). He also doesn't shy away from recalculating as needed. I would say check him out for the best tracking. I just do this for sh$%# and giggles mostly. I think the only thing I offer different is a running commentary on what people are saying around the daily updates. You get a bit of a ground level view of what people are actually talking about in regards to the daily updates that you don't get with just the numbers.

Regardless I hope to see some better movement today and tomorrow so that the final day (Thursday) isn't quite the nail biter people are expecting.
 
I’m speaking specifically about the daily backer drops. Has this been an issue with any other HasLab? Where every day it’s two steps forward, one step back?
 
Still havent backed yet, I'm on the fence. I really like it, but I kinda want to spend my fun money on other things right now. Hey Hasbro, can you put this on hold for like 4 months?
 
Still on the fence too and my debate is "will this be the last big cool thing I can back before the economy tanks and I should do it for the small joy" versus thinking it's too much vehicle for my space.
 
NORM said:
I’m speaking specifically about the daily backer drops. Has this been an issue with any other HasLab? Where every day it’s two steps forward, one step back?
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It appears that they have made a decision to not have live tracking of backers who cancel, but instead to leave those numbers out until 6ish am EST. Before it was nearly real time where numbers would go up and down throughout the day.
 
I understand the fence sitting. For me I am pretty much all in on Classified so it is not a question for me. I think, right now, if you are on the fence it is probably best to wait and see how the tiers go. I have seen a couple posts about how the Bivouac is the minimum level acceptable for someone to back, which I think is fair. Lady Jaye, while nice, is not that big a draw (my opinion). However if the Bivouac can get unlocked I think both the value and attractiveness of the offering is enough to back.
 
canprime said:
I understand the fence sitting. For me I am pretty much all in on Classified so it is not a question for me. I think, right now, if you are on the fence it is probably best to wait and see how the tiers go. I have seen a couple posts about how the Bivouac is the minimum level acceptable for someone to back, which I think is fair. Lady Jaye, while nice, is not that big a draw (my opinion). However if the Bivouac can get unlocked I think both the value and attractiveness of the offering is enough to back.
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I'm torn because Lady Jaye AND Flint is a huge draw for me, but only Jaye makes me not really care about getting her at all. The bivouac adds a lot of fun bits and bobs to it so that feels like a nice get.
 
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